Forecast Discussion

256
FXUS64 KMEG 302351
AFDMEG

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Memphis TN
551 PM CST Sun Nov 30 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 538 PM CST Sun Nov 30 2025

- Below-normal temperatures will persist over the next seven days.

- A Winter Weather Advisory will go into effect Monday evening
  for areas north of I-40, with expected minor impacts to roadways
  and bridges.

- Dry conditions resume by midweek before another round of
  precipitation occurs by the end of the work week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
(This evening through next Saturday)
Issued at 1219 PM CST Sun Nov 30 2025

The Mid-South sits under mostly clear skies this afternoon with a
lingering cloud deck situated over northern Mississippi. Afternoon
highs will vary from north to south today, with areas near Kentucky
remaining in the upper 30s. Further south, temperatures will
approach 50 degrees.

A complex forecast emerges on Monday as a Gulf low tracks over
southern Mississippi and Alabama. This system will advect elevated
moisture into the Mid-South, with Precipitable Water values
approaching the 90th percentile by the afternoon hours. A few
models depict moisture arriving earlier, which suggests a brief
window of a wintry mix Monday morning. However, probabilities for
this are low (004-019>022-048>052-054-055.

&&

$$

PUBLIC FORECAST...ANS
AVIATION...AEH