Forecast Discussion

363
FXUS64 KMEG 111154
AFDMEG

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Memphis TN
554 AM CST Wed Feb 11 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 554 AM CST Wed Feb 11 2026

- Showers and a few rumbles of thunder will continue through
  Wednesday morning.

- A brief lull in precipitation will occur from Wednesday
  afternoon through Thursday before showers and thunderstorms
  return late Friday, and last through the weekend.

- Weekend rain totals will be in the 1.5 to 2.5 inch range.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
(Tonight through next Tuesday)
Issued at 1008 PM CST Tue Feb 10 2026

A mild evening prevails across the Mid-South ahead of an
approaching cold front that was located from western Kentucky
into the Missouri Bootheel and extreme northeast Arkansas at
10 pm. Temperatures were in the 60s with dewpoints in the 50s
across the Mid-South. Showers continue to develop ahead of the
front. The front will sag south through the region overnight,
exiting just after sunrise. A few hundred joules of MUCAPE exist,
allowing for a