Forecast Discussion

000
FXUS64 KMEG 240441
AFDMEG

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Memphis TN
1141 PM CDT Thu May 23 2019

.UPDATE...
Updated to include 06Z Aviation Discussion.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 939 PM CDT Thu May 23 2019/

UPDATE...
Clear skies prevailed across the Midsouth at midevening.
Temperatures were 1 to 3 degrees cooler than 24 hours previous,
while dewpoints were 3 to 5 degrees cooler, on average.

Forecast remains on track, with only minor overnight temperature
adjustments.

PWB

PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 604 PM CDT Thu May 23 2019/

UPDATE...
Updated to include 00Z Aviation Discussion.

PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 321 PM CDT Thu May 23 2019/

UPDATE...
Updated 18Z TAFs

PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 252 PM CDT Thu May 23 2019/

DISCUSSION...

Skies are mostly sunny across the forecast area this afternoon
with temperatures ranging from the mid 80s to lower 90s. The upper
level ridge is now in place across much of the southeast U.S.

The ridge will continue to build north and strengthen over the
next couple of days. This will allow dry weather to continue
across the region for the entire holiday weekend. Temperatures
will remain quite warm with highs in the lower 90s and low in the
mid 60s to lower 70s. Some locations may see records high
temperatures and record high minimum temperatures broken over the
next couple of days.

Eventually, the ridge will start to retreat south as early as
Tuesday. A cold front will approach the region starting Wednesday
and will reach the northern portions of the forecast area next
Thursday. Thunderstorms will be possible across northern sections
of the forecast area by Tuesday night with a better chance of
thunderstorms for the entire forecast area for Wednesday and next
Thursday.

ARS

&&

.AVIATION...
06Z TAFs

VFR conditions are expected to persist through the period with
surface/upper level high pressure overhead. Light winds will
increase to 6-11 kts with a few gusts at JBR on Friday then
becoming light by Friday evening.

CJC

&&

.MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...None.
MO...None.
MS...None.
TN...None.
&&

$$